/What to Watch for in Trump’s National Address on Immigration

What to Watch for in Trump’s National Address on Immigration


President Trump’s biggest hurdle in persuading Americans that there’s a nationwide safety disaster on the southwest border could be his personal credibility.

Mr. Trump is utilizing a uncommon forex — a prime-time handle to the nation — to make the case for a border wall with Mexico, a problem that has pressured a partial shutdown of the federal authorities.

His penchant for superlatives — “the best,” “the worst,” “never,” “always,” and now, “crisis” — and his file of falsehoods, misstatements and exaggerations on the subject will seemingly be challenged as by no means earlier than.

Here is what to watch for and among the bigger points the president faces.

Mr. Trump will ship his speech at 9 p.m. Eastern Time. It can be aired by main broadcast and cable information networks and streamed reside at www.nytimes.com.

Mr. Trump might attempt to circumvent Congress by declaring a nationwide emergency to order that the wall be constructed, however administration officers who had seen a draft copy of his speech stated the president was not getting ready to accomplish that.

This can be a rare use of presidential authority. For instance, President George W. Bush invoked emergency powers following the Sept. 11 assaults.

The rationale for the emergency energy is to give the president the capability to act shortly to take care of issues like an pressing safety menace.

There are presently 31 nationwide emergencies which can be ongoing. The oldest dates again to 1979, when President Jimmy Carter invoked one to freeze Iranian authorities property. The Trump administration has issued three emergency declarations to date, most just lately in late November freezing the property of sure Nicaraguan officers.

Saying a scenario is a disaster doesn’t make it so, however Mr. Trump and different senior administration officers have been utilizing the phrase repeatedly in latest days.

They level to a direct connection between the movement of medicine from Mexico and the opioid epidemic in the United States. They say that migrants, notably girls and kids, are victims of crime as they journey to the United States. And Mr. Trump has additionally strongly instructed that terrorists could also be slipping throughout the border.

These threats are vastly exaggerated, if not fabricated. Migrant border crossings have been declining for nearly two decades. The majority of heroin enters the United States through legal ports of entry, not through open areas of the border. Immigrants are less likely to commit crimes in the United States than native-born Americans. The State Department said in a recent report that there is “no credible evidence” that terrorist groups had sent operatives to enter the United States through Mexico.

Despite all of this, Mr. Trump could repeat some of these statistics, which other administration officials have cited misleadingly.

Of the nearly “17,000 criminals” attempting to cross the border — a number used by officials recently — about 63 percent were stopped while attempting to enter legal ports of entry.

Of the “10 individuals on the terrorist watch list” stopped daily by the Department of Homeland Security, most were attempting to enter by air travel. And the watch list itself includes people who are suspected of having ties to terrorism — not necessarily those convicted of terrorism crimes.

And the more than 3,000 “special interest aliens” who have been stopped at the southwest border refers to people who come from countries that have exported terrorism or who exhibit travel patterns “that indicates a possible nexus to nefarious activity,” according to the Department of Homeland Security. A recent analysis from the libertarian Cato Institute found that of 45,000 “special interest aliens” caught at the border since 2007, none has committed terrorist attacks.

So far, Democrats have been highly unified in their opposition to Mr. Trump’s wall proposal. Speaker Nancy Pelosi of California has called it immoral. Instead, Democrats have demanded that the president immediately end the shutdown and allow Congress to pass funding legislation to keep the government functioning. Only then will they allow a debate on border security.



Source link Nytimes.com

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